The AfD move into the Bundestag is democracy at work - and shows us the ruin of the German party landscape. The threatening coalition between the Union, the Free Democratic Party and the Greens and Greens will in any case be only an exhaustive alliance on time.
In the morning of the dawning day, a rubble field, the rubble field of the party landscape of post-war history, extends before us . This choice was no less than an earthquake, but one with an announcement. The Social Democrats, once the largest people's party, are marginalized at twenty percent . A cultural movement that has given millions of workers a warm home feeling is only a shadow of their own. The election has shown what has already been suggested in the election campaign: the SPD is not able to find and set the issues with which it is opposed the left-handed Union.
Exactly this will not change in the coming years. The fact that the SPD in the opposition can return to old strength is indeed the straw, to which their officials and followers now cling. But it is a fallacy . Only the fundamental opposition to the AfD - which will be much easier for her than the Union concerned about the right margin - is not a new issue.
The jubilant supporters of the AfD , who are going to enter the Bundestag with dozens of right-wing radicals, are pulling through the debris field with waving flags . We will hear speeches that shame us . We will shudder before their nationalism and the backward-looking world of ideas . We will see scenes of ignorance and dilettanteism that make us stunned . And we will be experiencing a movement whose protagonists are already attacking each other and possibly disassembling themselves.
There are turbulent years before us
And yet, the arrival of the AfD is democracy at work , it is the manifest protest against the unresolved issues of immigration. It is an expression of the fear and uncertainty that has affected part of the republic. But democracy at work is also the fact that the rest of the Parliament and the country - that is, the vastly predominantly moderate majority - opposes the contempt for this backward movement and combats it with all the methods of parliamentary democracy, not least with convincing government work. It will be turbulent years !
This will also be the case for the chancellor , because, after the Social Democrats' withdrawal from a grand coalition, they must now bring together four parties which can not be more different. Between the right edge of the Union and the left part of the Greens lie worlds. Many positions of the economic liberal FDP collide head-on with the socialized ideas of the Union. Obedrein, the CSU will try to gain territory on the right-hand side so as not to have to experience the voting mood of yesterday during the forthcoming regional elections . And yet: Merkel must try, new elections would be a rough defeat and would in no case give more stable positions. Merkel must tame the strikes of their future coalition and force them into an alliance.
Such coalitions are, as the experience in Schleswig-Holstein shows, exhausting to exhaustive . The chances that the alliance will last until the end of the legislature are estimated to be far below 50 per cent (nail me down on it, and if I were wrong, I would happily retire after four years). To that extent, there is an obvious point of view: the CDU / CSU, FDP and Greens start as a temporary coalition whose protagonists after about two years exhausted abandon be. Perhaps until then the AfD had disarmed enough. Perhaps the SPD then realized that the opposition was getting even less than the government's participation. Surely the Chancellor will then have established for herself that it is now enough. The result would be new elections , the end of the Merkel era and a new government - led by its successor.
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In any case, periods of time that can hardly become more exciting - not just outside the political arena, where the conflict between the two rocket men from North Korea and the United States is exacerbated in a frightened way, are breaking down. But also in the domestic policy, with a fragile government, a SPD acting desperately on the subject, and a Union that will try hard to make the right ground lost. That's why we decided not to let our countdown newsletter end with this post, but to prepare for the next election.
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I wish you a fiery departure into the new legislative period. Let us discuss more and argue more. We promise to continue to provide you with a well-founded thought-sharing. Start today on FAZ.NET or in the digital FAZ , where my colleagues analyzed the events of yesterday evening haarklein.(faz)
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